Monday, November 25, 2019

Due to end semester exams, I was not able to write the article. However, my exams are going to end tomorrow after that I will start publishing articles. 

Friday, November 8, 2019

MUMBAI RAINS: MASSIVE RAINS LASHED MUMBAI IN VERY RARE RAIN MONTH NOVEMBER, REMNANT OF CYCLONE MAHA RESPONSIBLE, DRY WEATHER TO STEP IN TOMORROW ONWARDS.

Mumbai Rains

MASSIVE RAINS LASHED MUMBAI IN VERY RARE RAIN MONTH NOVEMBER, REMNANT OF CYCLONE MAHA RESPONSIBLE, DRY WEATHER TO STEP IN TOMORROW ONWARDS.

 HIGHLIGHTS:

1) Early morning heavy rains surprised Mumbaikars.

2) Goregaon received the highest rainfall of about 72mm in the last 24 hours ending 8:30 AM today.

3) The remnant of cyclone maha responsible for today's massive rains.

4) Dry weather likely to persist tomorrow onwards.

MUMBAI: Today morning all the Mumbaikars woked up to very rare heavy November rains. The reason for such sudden heavy rain was the remnant of cyclone maha which is hovering over the northeast Arabian sea off palghar district and south of Gujarat. In fact, the month of  November normally receives only 9.9 mm of rains. This year weather-wise is very historic, the monsoon which was very deficient in the month of  June ended statistically with about 10% excess than the normal in the month of September, All-time high Mumbai monsoon rain record was broken, now recently all-time high annual Mumbai rain record is broken and many more.

As soon as monsoon withdraws from the Mumbai the rains remain fare & very few. But this time it's a different scenario the Mumbai rains are not in the mood to take a backseat they showed their magic in the month of November also.

Tomorrow's Weather Forecast Of Mumbai:

The weather over Mumbai is very likely to turn dry tomorrow onwards as the system is going to weaken further and move away from the Mumbai region. Skies will turn clear with bright sunny days and very comfortable nights. Light breeze likely to persist.

Top 10 rainest places in Mumbai last 24 hours ending today at 8:30 am:

1) Goregaon: 72mm.
2) Chincholi Fire Station: 63mm.
3) Malad Fire Station: 53mm.
4) Chirak Nagar: 50mm.
5) Pr. Thackeray Natya Mandir: 49mm.
6) Kandivali Fire Station: 49mm.
7) Mulund Fire Station: 48mm.
8) Borivali Fire Station: 43mm.
9) Dahisar Fire Station: 39mm.
10) Bhandup: 36mm.

Tuesday, November 5, 2019

THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM "MAHA" LIKELY TO CROSS GUJARAT COAST BETWEEN DIU AND SOMNATH AS A CYCLONIC STORM AROUND 7TH MORNING.

Well Structured Cyclone With An Eye.

THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM "MAHA" LIKELY TO CROSS GUJARAT COAST BETWEEN DIU AND SOMNATH AS A 
CYCLONIC STORM AROUND 7TH MORNING. 

HIGHLIGHTS:
1) THE CYCLONIC STORM MAHA IS CURRENTLY MAINTAINING THE STRENGTH OF EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM(ESCS).

2)THE ESCS MAHA WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARDS FOR THE NEXT 3-6 HOURS.

3) THE ESCS MAHA IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS RAPIDLY AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY.

4) THE ESCS STORM MAHA IS LIKELY TO CROSS GUJARAT COAST BETWEEN DIU AND SOMNATH.

5) HEAVY RAINS WITH STRONG GUSTY WIND EXPECTED DURING LANDFALL.

6) WEATHER FORECAST OF MUMBAI & VASAI-VIRAR REGION FOR TOMORROW.

INDIA: The cyclonic storm maha rapidly intensified into a very severe cyclonic storm and then into an extremely severe cyclonic storm within 24 hours in the east-central    Arabian sea. Currently, the storm is present in the west-central Arabian sea and adjoining areas packing winds of about 170-180 kph gusting to 190 kph. 

Current Position of ESCS MAHA:


The Cyclonic Storm Maha is excepted to move in north direction for coming 3-6 hours and then it will start it's a journey towards south Gujarat coast in the east-northeast direction, gradually during Its rapid journey towards Gujarat coast it will start weakening as it will move closer to the land. The reason behind the recurve is the western disturbance which is approaching Jammu and Kashmir region.

Observed and Future Track of ESCS Maha by JTWC:

Observed & Future Track of ESCS Maha by IMD:



This Cyclone will weaken gradually into a cyclonic storm before it's landfall, it's landfall is expected between Diu and Somnath the south coastal Saurashtra region of Gujarat around 7th morning. During its landfall, the system will have a wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph associated with heavy rains.

HWRF Wind(kt) & MSLP(mb) During the Time of landfall:


The sea conditions will be very rough during the 6th/7th November, already the warning has been given to the fisherman by the government officials to come out from the deep seas.

Vasai-Virar & Mumbai weather forecast for
Tomorrow:

Tonight 5th November: Dry weather with clear skies condition.

Wednesday, 6th November: Dry weather to prevail between 12:00 am to 10:00 am with clear skies. From 10:00 am to 12:00 pm there is a very slim chance of very light rain in south Mumbai region other places to witness dry conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies conditions. Remaining part of the day to remain dry with partly cloudy skies conditions.
Temperature(max/min): 32-33/25-26.

Image credits: Britannica.com

Friday, November 1, 2019

THE JOURNEY OF THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM "MAHA", FOURTH CYCLONE OF THE SEASON IN THE ARABIAN SEA. TOTAL 6 CYCLONES HAVE FORMED IN THIS SEASON TILL PRESENT.

Cyclone Maha Crossing Lakshadweep Island.

THE JOURNEY OF THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM "MAHA", FOURTH CYCLONE OF THE  SEASON IN THE ARABIAN SEA. TOTAL 6 CYCLONES HAVE FORMED IN THIS SEASON TILL PRESENT.

Highlights:

1) Cyclone Maha the 4th cyclone formed in the Arabian sea.

2) The Journey of the severe cyclonic storm maha.

3) Cyclone Kyarr has now weakened into Depression over the west-central Arabian sea.

India: The Arabian sea is on fire mode as back to back weather systems are forming in the basin, these weather systems are also becoming more marked due to favorable conditions such as low vertical wind shear, Warm sea surface temperatures, abundant availability of moisture, high humidity levels, etc:-. Normally only 1 cyclone or 2 cyclones forms in the Arabian sea by records. But now due to climate change the dynamics of the Arabian sea are changing, more cyclones are forming and also they are becoming more intense. Researches also say that there will be more intense cyclones as the temperatures are increasing.

The 2019 north Indian ocean cyclone season is the most active cyclone season on record in terms of accumulated cyclone energy(ACE),  surpassing 2007. Furthermore, the season has been active, with six cyclonic storms, one severe, four others formed as very severe cyclonic storms and one super cyclonic storm. ACE is a measure of the power of a tropical or subtropical storm multiplied by the length of time it existed. It is only calculated for full advisories on specific tropical and subtropical systems reaching or exceeding wind speeds of 63 km/h (39mph).

The Journey of Severe Cyclone "Maha" as per IMD:


  1. On 29th October, a low-pressure area intensified into the well-marked low-pressure area over the Comorin area and adjoining the equatorial Indian ocean.
  2. In the next 12 hours, it concentrated into a depression over the Maldive, coloring area & adjoining Lakshadweep area.
  3. On 30th October at 2:30 pm thee, depression further strengthened into a deep depression over Lakshadweep and adjoining S.E Arabian sea.
  4. Favorable conditions led to the rapid development of the system and in just 3 hours at 5:30 pm on 30th October it intensified into a cyclone, after which it was assigned the name "maha".
  5. It crossed the Lakshadweep island as a cyclonic storm with winds up to 80kmph.
  6. Amini Devi and Minicoy received extremely heavy rains of about 301mm and 119mm respectively.
  7. In the next 24 hours on 31st October, the system intensified into a severe cyclonic storm about 300 km off north Karnataka coast.
  8. Its movement during its journey was north/northwestwards till today.

   Severe cyclone maha tracked by IMD:



The system is going to intensify further into a very severe cyclonic storm in the next 6-12 hours. This system is very likely to track west/northwestwards till 5th November and enter the west-central Arabian sea. But from 5th November it is very likely to track northeastwards towards the Indian west coast due to the western disturbance.

Observed and Future Track of Severe Cyclone Maha as per IMD:


The cyclone Kyarr has weakened into depression in morning hours, it is very likely to weaken into the well-marked low-pressure area during the next 6-12 hours, tracking southwards.



Tuesday, October 29, 2019

THE SUPER CYCLONIC STORM KYARR WEAKENED INTO EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM TODAY MORNING, TO FURTHER WEAKEN INTO VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM IN NEXT 12-24 HOURS, TO DISSIPATE IN SEA ITSELF AROUND 3RD/4TH NOVEMBER.

SUPER CYCLONIC STORM KYARR  CHURNING IN WEST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.
THE SUPER CYCLONIC STORM KYARR WEAKENED INTO EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM TODAY MORNING, TO FURTHER WEAKEN INTO VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM IN NEXT 12-24 HOURS, TO DISSIPATE IN SEA ITSELF AROUND 3RD/4TH NOVEMBER.

Highlights:
1) The super cyclone "KYARR" is the first cyclonic storm in the north Indian ocean to reach super cyclone status after 12 Years.

2) The total accumulated cyclone energy recorded this season in the north Indian ocean is the highest surpassing 2007.

3) The ESCS kyarr is very likely to dissipate in the sea itself around 3rd/4th November.

4) The impact of climate change on the Arabian sea (especially on the formation of weather systems).

India: From the beginning of the post-monsoon season, Both the north Indian ocean seas I.e The Arabian sea and the Bay of Bengal sea are active, especially the Arabian sea is mega active. This resulted in excess to large excess rains in south peninsular India,  Maharashtra,  Goa Gangetic West Bengal, Orissa, and Jharkhand.

The cyclonic storm kyarr formed on 25th October 2019 over east central Arabian Sea off south Maharashtra coast, after which due to warm sea surface temperature, low vertical wind shear, and moist environment it went through rapid intensification process. It intensified into a severe cyclone on the 25th evening, very severe cyclone on 26th morning, extremely severe cyclone on 26th late evening and super cyclone on 27th morning. It is the first cyclone to reach super cyclone status in the north Indian ocean after 12 years I.e after the super cyclone gonu in 2007, which battered the northeastern tip of oman as a very severe cyclonic storm with winds of about 150 kph(90mph) causing 50+ deaths.

The 2019 north Indian ocean cyclone season is the most active cyclone season on record in terms of accumulated cyclone energy(ACE),  surpassing 2007. Furthermore, the season has been moderately active, with five cyclonic storms, four others formed as very severe cyclonic storms and one super cyclonic storm.
ACE is a measure of the power of a tropical or subtropical storm multiplied by the length of time it existed. It is only calculated for full advisories on specific tropical and subtropical systems reaching or exceeding wind speeds of 63 km/h (39mph).

The ESCS Kyarr will now go through the weakening process, it is expected to weaken into a very severe cyclone in the next 12-24 hours, and further accordingly. It is very likely to move southwestwards off Oman &  Yemen coast and weaken into a depression on 2nd November. It is likely to dissipate in the sea off Yemen & Somalia coast.

The impact of climate change on the Arabian sea (especially on the formation of weather systems).
According to Jeff masters the author of Scientific American blog, The impact of climate change on the Arabian sea is as follows:
The North Indian Ocean has two tropical cyclone seasons—one centered in May, before the onset of the monsoon, and one centered in October/November after the monsoon has waned. During the June – September peak of the monsoon, tropical cyclones are uncommon, due to interference from the monsoon circulation.  Since the introduction of reliable satellite data in 1998 over the Arabian Sea, there had never been a post-monsoon Arabian Sea tropical cyclone with 3-minute average winds of at least 105 mph (the threshold for extremely severe cyclonic storms, as classified by the India Meteorological Department)--until 2014. But with Kyarr’s formation, we have now seen five since 2014: Nilofar in 2014, Chapala and Megh in 2015, Ockhi in 2017, and now Kyarr in 2019. (There was also one such storm recorded before the onset of reliable satellite data in 1998, though: an unnamed November 1977 cyclone).

This unprecedented shift in tropical cyclone activity led to a 2017 modeling study by Murakami et al. which concluded that human-caused climate change had increased the probability of powerful post-monsoon tropical cyclones over the Arabian Sea, and that this risk would increase further in the future--with potentially damaging consequences to the nations bordering the Arabian Sea. In a 2018 review paper by 11 hurricane scientists (Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part I. Detection and Attribution), all 11 authors concluded that the balance of evidence suggests that was a detectable increase in post-monsoon extremely severe cyclonic storms in the Arabian Sea during the 1998 – 2015 period; 8 of 11 authors concluded that human-caused climate change contributed to the increase.

Image credit: NASA.

Friday, October 25, 2019

THE PROBABLE CYCLONIC STORM KYARR TO FORM IN NEXT 12 HOURS, TO RECURVE AND HEAD TOWARDS OMAN AND YEMEN. NO DIRECT IMPACT ON THE WEST COAST OF INDIA.

Man Driving a Car Through The Intense Storm.
THE PROBABLE CYCLONIC STORM KYARR TO FORM IN NEXT 12 HOURS, TO RECURVE AND  HEAD TOWARDS OMAN AND YEMEN. NO DIRECT IMPACT ON THE WEST COAST OF INDIA. 

India: Today many places of northern Mumbai suburbs, Thane and Vasai & Virar region received sudden heavy rains during evening hours, the reason for the rains was the deep depression which is persisting over east-central Arabian sea moving slowly east-northeastwards. This system is about 310 km southwest of Ratnagiri(Maharashtra) and 450 km southwest of Mumbai(Maharashtra) as of 5:30 pm today. 

Future Track Of The System:
This system which is currently a deep depression will intensify into a cyclonic storm kyarr during the next 6-12 hours and will track east-northeastwards till tomorrow evening. Afterward, it will start the recurving process and will start moving in west/northwest direction away from the Konkan & Goa and Karnataka coast. This storm will intensify rapidly into a severe cyclonic storm in the next 24 hours and will move towards Oman and Yemen. It is likely to reach there by evening of 30th October or the morning of 31st October.

Rainfall Over Mumbai & Vasai-Virar Region During Next 2 Days: 
Whenever strong systems form they attract moisture towards them, as a result, there will be a reduction in rainfall intensity. The system is far off at a good distance from Mumbai & Vasai-Virar Region. The peripherals of the system will give a few goods spells of rain especially during the evening hours of  Saturday and afternoon hours of Sunday. Light to moderate rains can be seen occasionally. 
Next 2 days rain accumulation: around 25-35 mm.

Cyclone Kyarr Track According To IMD:


The Deep Depression System Tracked by IMD:







Sunday, October 20, 2019

MAHARASHTRA ASSEMBLY ELECTION 2019: COMFORTABLE WEATHER TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS LIKELY IN KONKAN, SOUTH MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, AND MARATHAWADA.

People Standing In Queue To Give Their Value Vote
 MAHARASHTRA ASSEMBLY ELECTION 2019: COMFORTABLE WEATHER TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS LIKELY IN KONKAN, SOUTH MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, AND MARATHAWADA.

Maharashtra: The state of Maharashtra is going to elect a new assembly on 21st October 2019. There are about 3,239 candidates on the list for 288 seats. The election process will officially begin at morning 7:00 am and will get concluded at evening 6:00 pm on the same day. As merely a few hours are remaining for the election process to begin the weather of Maharashtra seems to be in another mood. 

Let's have a look at Maharashtra weather subdivision wise during election hours(from 7:00 am to 6:00 pm):

Konkan
Temperature(max/min): 28-29/24-25.
Sky condition: Mostly cloudy skies to prevail.
Rain Forecast: From 7:00 am to 10:00 am, Mainly light rains/drizzle are likely at north Konkan districts such as palghar, thane, Mumbai suburban and Mumbai city, while The Raigad district will receive light to moderate. From 10:00 am to 6:00 pm, dry weather conditions will prevail with cloudy skies and comfortable weather, one or two light spells cannot be ruled out in all the N.Konkan Districts.
South Konkan Districts are very likely to receive light showers with intervals in between throughout the election process.

Madhya Maharashtra: 
Temperature(max/min): 26-28/23-25.
Sky condition: mostly cloudy skies to prevail.
Rain forecast: The North Madhya Maharashtra Districts are likely to remain dry throughout the whole election process only a few places might see light showers in between. Comfortable weather to persist.
From 7:00 am to 1 pm, South Madhya Maharashtra region will receive light to moderate spells of rain. Intensity to increase bit between 1 pm to 6 pm wherein moderate spells with one or two intense spells can occur.

Marathawada
Temperature(max/min): 28-30/23-25.
Sky condition: partly cloudy to cloudy skies.
Rain forecast: mostly dry weather to persist with few places recording very light to light rains in between throughout the election process hours.

Vidarbha: 
Temperature(max/min): 30-32/21-22.
Sky condition:  partly cloudy skies becoming cloudy in between.
Rain forecast: From 7:00 am to 12:00 pm, the Chandrapur & gadchiroli districts are likely to see a few light to moderate spells of rain. The remaining districts of Vidarbha will mostly remain dry throughout the election process. 

Note: Weather forecast is given for only between 7:00 am to 6:00 pm.

Thursday, October 17, 2019

WEATHER FORECAST OF THE MUMBAI REGION FOR NEXT 3 DAYS.

Mumbai Night View
WEATHER FORECAST OF THE MUMBAI REGION FOR NEXT 3 DAYS.

India: The Southwest monsoon 2019 has finally withdrawn from the entire country on 16th October 2019. The withdrawal commencement had broken the all-time record. The withdrawal started on the 9th of October from west Rajasthan. One of the interesting facts is that monsoon entirely withdraws from the country in just 8 days making it one of the fastest withdrawal in history. As soon as the southwest monsoon signed off, the northeast monsoon has commenced in south India. I.e the regions of Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala & south interior Karnataka.

Mumbai Weather Forecast for the Next 3 Days:

Friday 18th October:
Temperature(max/min): 32-34/ 26-28.
Wind: Mostly North/Northeast direction. Max speed 10-12 km/hr.
Sky conditions: clear skies becoming partly cloudy in the evening.
Rain: post 1 pm there is a very slim chance of light thundershower. Mostly between 1 pm - 6 pm. Rain amount(12:00am today to 12am tomorrow): 0-5mm.

Saturday 19th October:
Temperature(max/min): 29-31/ 26-27.
Wind: Mostly Northeast direction. max speed 10-12 km/hr.
Sky Condition: Mainly cloudy skies to prevail.
Rain: light rains are possible throughout the day, to peak up some pace from night I.e from 10 pm. Rain amount(12:00am today to 12am tomorrow): 10-20mm.

Sunday 20th October:
Temperature(max/min): 26-28/ 25-26.
Wind: Mostly Northeast direction. max speed 10-12 km/hr.
Sky Condition: Mainly cloudy skies to prevail.
Rain: A few lights to moderate with isolated heavy spells of rain is possible from early morning hours till 5 pm. After that, the intensity is likely to reduce with only light rains between 6 pm & 11 pm. Rain amount(12:00am today to 12am tomorrow): 30-50mm.

Note:- If the conditions change, I will update It.

WEATHER FORECAST OF THE VASAI-VIRAR REGION FOR NEXT 3 DAYS.

Vasai Fort - Maharashtra

WEATHER FORECAST OF THE VASAI-VIRAR REGION FOR NEXT 3 DAYS.

India: The Southwest monsoon 2019 has finally withdrawn from the entire country on 16th October 2019. The withdrawal commencement had broken the all-time record. The withdrawal started on the 9th of October from west Rajasthan. One of the interesting facts is that monsoon entirely withdraws from the country in just 8 days making it one of the fastest withdrawal in history. As soon as the southwest monsoon signed off, the northeast monsoon has commenced in south India. I.e the regions of Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala & south interior Karnataka.

Vasai-Virar Weather Forecast for the Next 3 Days:

Friday 18th October:
Temperature(max/min): 32-34/ 26-28.
Wind: Mostly North/Northeast direction. Max speed 10-12 km/hr.
Sky conditions: clear skies becoming partly cloudy in the evening.
Rain: post 1 pm there is a very slim chance of light thundershower. Mostly between 1 pm - 6 pm. Rain amount: 0-2mm.

Saturday 19th October:
Temperature(max/min): 29-31/ 26-27.
Wind: Mostly Northeast direction. max speed 10-12 km/hr.
Sky Condition: Mainly cloudy skies to prevail.
Rain: light rains are possible throughout the day, to peak up some pace from night I.e from 10 pm. Rain amount: 5-15mm.

Sunday 20th October:
Temperature(max/min): 26-28/ 25-26.
Wind: Mostly Northeast direction. max speed 10-12 km/hr.
Sky Condition: Mainly cloudy skies to prevail.
Rain: A few lights to moderate with isolated heavy spells of rain is possible from early morning hours till 5 pm. After that, the intensity is likely to reduce with only light rains between 6 pm & 11 pm. Rain amount: 30-40mm.

Note:- If the conditions change, I will update It.


Wednesday, October 16, 2019

INDIA WEATHER BLOG SELECTED IN TOP 100 WEATHER BLOGS IN THE WORLD BY FEEDSPOT.

India weather blog in top 100 weather blogs on the web

INDIA WEATHER BLOG SELECTED IN TOP 100 WEATHER BLOGS IN THE WORLD BY FEEDSPOT.


Today, It's one of the biggest and proud moment for me and all of my viewers as a family, as my curiosity, love, and passion towards the weather have been given appreciation on the big stage by the Feedspot organization. I am very glad and optimistic to be part of the top 100 weather blogs on the web.

What is Feedspot?

Feedspot is the content reader for reading all your favorite websites in one place.
  1. Add your favorite Blogs, News websites, RSS Feeds, Youtube Channels, and Social sites accounts to your Feedspot account and read new updates from one place.
  2. Using a content reader helps you keep up with your top information sources - content comes straight to you, saving you the time to go and check every site on your own.
  3. Feedspot also keeps track of which items you've read, so you only see the unread items when you come back, even when you log in on different devices.
Link for the Top 100 Weather Blogs on the Web:


Thank you!

Monday, October 14, 2019

The Record-Breaking Southwest Monsoon Season 2019 Has Finally Withdrawn From Mumbai Today.

Gateway of India, Mumbai
The Record-Breaking Southwest Monsoon Season 2019 Has Finally Withdrawn From Mumbai Today.

Mumbai: After a long wait the record-breaking southwest monsoon 2019 has officially withdrawn from Mumbai today. This season the monsoon withdrawal commenced on 9th October from the extreme northwestern part of the country I.e from the northwestern part of Rajasthan state with a record-setting delay of about staggering  38 days. Monsoon normally withdraws from northwestern Rajasthan after 1st September, It is never attempted before 1st September.

The Reasons for the Monsoon 2019 Withdrawal Record Delay:
1) The back to back-formation of low-pressure areas over the north bay and moving in west/northwest direction towards the Rajasthan state. 
2) The depression that had formed over the Gujarat state. Which halted the monsoon withdrawal process. It was attracting humid wind from both the Arabian sea as well as the Bay of Bengal. It had given very heavy rains in Gujarat as well as southeastern Rajasthan.

Both these reasons halted the process of anticyclone formation over the Rajasthan. As it is the formation of a high-pressure area over the northwestern region of the country which causes the monsoon to withdraw.  
High-pressure areas are those which are associated with slow wind movement and stable weather.

Monsoon Withdrawal 2019 dates as per IMD:

Oct 9th: Northwest Rajasthan, southern Punjab, few parts of west & south Haryana.

Oct 10th: Northeast Rajasthan, extreme north M.P, entire west Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana & Delhi, most parts of west U.P, Few parts of east U.P.

Oct 11th: Few parts of the north  Arabian sea, Most parts of Kutch, North Gujarat region, North M.P, Entire U.P, and west Bihar.

Oct 12th: Most parts of north Arabian sea, entire kutch, and Bihar, Most parts of Saurashtra, Gujarat region, Jharkhand few parts of North Chattisgarh, and West Bengal

Oct 13th: Entire Saurashtra, most parts of the Gujarat region, M.P and few more parts of north Chhattisgarh.

Oct 14th: Entire north Arabian sea, Vidarbha, northeast India, West Bengal, Jharkhand. Most parts of northern Maharashtra, Few parts of Odisha and extreme north Telangana & north bay.

Conditions are favorable for further withdrawal of southwest monsoon from west & central India during next 2 days.

Image source: IMD.


Sunday, October 13, 2019

Mumbai Weather Forecast for Next 3 Days

Mumbai_Skyline

Mumbai Weather Forecast for next 3 Days


Sunday 13th:
Post 1 pm there is a chance of hit /miss thundershower. Most probably between 1 pm and 9 pm. Navi Mumbai & thane region has more chance.
Rain: Mainly very light to light rainfall can be anticipated,  relies on the area in which thundershower happens.
Temperature(Max/Min): 34-36/25-26.
Sky Condition: Clear skies becoming partly cloudy in the evening.

Monday 14th:
Very low probability of thundershower.
Almost nil, but there's an outside chance.
Rain: mainly dry weather to prevail throughout the day. No chance of rain.
Temperature(Max/Min): 34-36/26-27.
Sky condition: Clear skies with one or two clouds towards evening.

Tuesday 15th:
Dry weather to prevail.
Rain: mainly dry weather to prevail throughout the day. No chance of rain.
Temperature(Max/Min): 34-36/25-26.
Sky condition: Clear skies with one or two clouds towards evening.

Last 24 hours rain: 

Mumbai(SCZ): 0.0mm.
Mumbai(CLB): 0.0mm.

Since October 1st:

Mumbai(SCZ): 25mm. 
Mumbai(CLB): 14.8mm.
  

Tuesday, October 8, 2019

INDIA MONSOON 2019: Monsoon Withdrawal Delayed By Stunning 36 Days, Indication of Withdrawal from 10th Oct.


India: After glimpsing Four months-long monsoon season, which has given record-breaking rains to almost 3/4th area of the country the whole country is now praying for its withdrawal. Monsoon season 2019 statistically ended with an above-normal rainfall of about (110%). The main beneficiaries were the central India region and south India region which received about 29% and 16% surplus rains. Talking about the monsoon 2019 record, Monsoon 2019 gave the highest rains in the last 25 years.

Central India region:
In the central India region, The state of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, and goa experienced record floods. Hundreds of people lost their life with still many people missing, lakh of houses were completely destroyed, Thousands of houses partially eradicated. Wherein the above all the states recorded excess category rains while Odisha and Chhattisgarh received normal rains on the positive side. The main reason for such humongous rains was the series of low-pressure areas developing over the north bay and traveling in westerly/northwesterly direction.

South India region:
Its Monsoon story was identical to that of the central India region. Despite delayed arrival of monsoon, all the states of south India received either normal monsoon rains or excess monsoon rains, wherein the state of  Karnataka received excess rains while remaining states received normal rains in the positive side. The Karnataka and Kerala underwent severe flooding which caused huge loss of life and property.

Monsoon Withdrawal:
The monsoon usually starts withdrawing from the northwestern part of the country after 1st September but this year there is a different scenario. after a delay of about 36 days. Monsoon has shown signs of withdrawal from the northwestern part of the country. according to imd, most probably Monsoon is all set to withdraw after 2 days I.e from 10th Oct. As an anticyclone is persisting over Rajasthan in the lower troposphere. After which in the next week it will withdraw from the whole northwestern India region and few parts of central India.

Image credit: Time.com

Saturday, October 5, 2019

MUMBAI MONSOON 2019: EXTRAORDINARY MONSOON SEASON STATISTICALLY COMES TO AN END IN MUMBAI, 5 DAYS OF EXTREME RAINFALL EVENTS IN SINGLE SEASON , ALL TIME MONSOON SEASON RAINFALL RECORD BROKEN.



India: The phenomenal four months-long 2019 Monsoon season statistically came to an end on 30th September 2019, as per IMD. This Monsoon season was the best performer in the last 25 years, as it received 10% more rains than the long-period average which stands at 88cm for the country as a whole. The country is divided into four regions a) Northwest region b) East and Northeast India region c) Central India region and d) South peninsular India region. The central India region was the best performer as it recorded stunning 129% excess amounts of rains, south peninsular India recorded about 116% excess rains, which was followed by northwest India and east and northeast which recorded less than normal rains of about 98% and 88% respectively. Talking about monsoon withdrawal, we are in the 1st week of Oct but still, the withdrawal process has not begun.  Normally Southwest Monsoon starts withdrawing from the western part of the country I.e west Rajasthan after 1st September. It may begin withdrawing from 2nd week of September. Now Let's focus on the Mumbai region

Mumbai:
Extraordinary monsoon season witnessed by the Mumbai region, as it broke all-time monsoon rain record which was recorded in the year 1954. The city received the 2nd highest July rainfall and was few mm away for setting a new all-time high  July rain record.  The city also managed to broke the all-time September month rain record. The City recorded 5 days of extreme rainfall event in one single season, which is alarming.

Monsoon Onset in Mumbai :
The normal monsoon onset date for Mumbai is June 10th, but the monsoon 2019 made its onset on June 25th. It was a delay of about 15 days. The main reason for the delay was the cyclone Vayu, which had formed in the Arabian sea which weakened the monsoon current & soaked all the moisture around itself.

June Monsoon Rains in Mumbai:
As the monsoon onset was delayed for about 15 days the first half of the month was almost dry, also the initial few days of 2nd half of the month followed the same path. It was the June 25th when monsoon marked its arrival in the city, after which the humongous rain show begins. It rained so much so that it surpassed the monthly mean in the last 5 days of the month.

Significant rainfall figures:
June 29th: 234.8 mm. (extreme rainfall event)
June 30th: 92.9 mm.
Monthly normal: 493mm
Actual recorded: 515.7mm

July Monsoon Rains in Mumbai
The month of July which is the rainiest month for the city also started with a bang. It rained so enormously that the entire city was brought to an almost standstill for several times. It rained so much so that it surpassed its monthly mean in the first 10 days of the month which stands at 840 mm. The rains did not stop after that and went on pouring enormously, it was just short of only a few mm of rains to set a new all-time high July rain record. July ended with a large excess category of rains and with 2nd highest rain record.
Significant rainfall figures:
July 1st: 91.9mm
July 2nd: 375.2mm(extreme rainfall event)
July 6th: 77.8mm
July 27th: 219mm(extreme rainfall event)
July 31st: 65.1mm
Month normal: 840mm
Actual recorded: 1464.8mm

August Monsoon Rains in Mumbai:
The month of August followed the same path, wherein widespread heavy to very heavy rains were recorded in the first 5 days of the month. The city was thrown out of the gear, but sooner after that, there was a lull period when the rain God did showed some mercy on Mumbai people. After which again the rains gained the intensity and started pouring enormously at the month-end.
Significant rainfall figures:
Aug 3rd: 204mm (extreme rainfall event)
Month normal: 585.2mm
Actual Recorded: 574mm

September Monsoon Rains in Mumbai:
The month of September began with a bang as the rain show began from the first day of September itself. The city was paralyzed on several occasions, severe waterlogging was seen, the lifeline of Mumbai came to a halt, air traffic was also impacted by this rains. The September monthly mean was surpassed in the first few days of the month sooner it also managed to broke the all-time high September rain record. The month of September saw widespread heavy rains and ended with a large excess category of rains. The first half of the month saw around 900mm rains, while the second half of the month saw around 216mm rains.
Significant rainfall figures:
Sep 5th: 242.2mm
Monthly normal: 341.4mm.
Actual recorded: 1115.7mm.



Sunday, September 15, 2019

MUMBAI RAINS: MASSIVE RAINS RECEIVED BY MUMBAI IN FIRST 10 DAYS OF SEPTEMBER, ALL TIME SEPTEMBER RAIN RECORD TO BE BROKEN IN NEXT FEW DAYS, WHICH STANDS AT 920 MM RECORDED IN YEAR 1954.

Mumbai: The maximum city received some humongous rains in the first 10 days of September. Which caused severe waterlogging on roads, massive traffic, delay as well as cancellation of air transportation and railway transportation.
This rainy spell was so heavy that Mumbai surpassed its monthly mean in first 5 days of September. Sooner after surpassing it's monthly mean that stands at 340 mm, The city broked it's decade old September month rain record in first 10 days of the month. Till sep 6th the city has recorded about 569.4mm (Santa Cruz). Also, after sep 6th moderate to heavy rains have lashed the city, wherein the city recorded total 899.5 mm of rain till sep 15th. The interesting fact is that now the city is heading towards setting all time September rain record, which stands at 920 mm recorded in the year 1954. With just few more mm of rains needed, mumbai will easily set new all time September rain record. 

Rainfall Data of Mumbai(Santa Cruz) & Vasai Recorded in First 10 Days of September:

Mumbai(SCZ):
Sep 1: 15.7 mm.
Sep 2: 16.7 mm.
Sep 3: 131.4 mm.
Sep 4: 118.3 mm.
Sep 5: 242.2 mm.
Sep 6: 45.1 mm.
Sep 7: 22.8 mm.
Sep 8: 119 mm.
Sep 9: 25.6 mm.
Sep 10: 54.4 mm.
Seasonal total: 3453.4 mm.

Vasai:
Sep 1: 19 mm.
Sep 2: 37 mm.
Sep 3: 72 mm.
Sep 4: 131 mm.
Sep 5: 266 mm.
Sep 6: 61 mm.
Sep 7: 9 mm.
Sep 8: 102 mm.
Sep 9: 29 mm.
Sep 10: 18 mm.




Wednesday, September 11, 2019

MUMBAI RAINS: Drenching Rains Experienced by the City in First 10 Days of September, More Rains Expected in the Coming 3-4 Days, Intensity to Increase after 24 Hours.


Mumbai: This Monsoon Season has been phenomenal for the Konkan & Goa subdivision which includes Mumbai, so much so that the subdivision has already surpassed its normal rains in the month of August itself. The subdivision has recorded around 4051.8mm of rains till 11th September 2019 against the normal of 2679.7mm, which is about 51% above normal. Now this surplus is going to increase as more rains are predicted from 12/13th sep onwards. Now coming back to financial capital of country Mumbai, the city has recorded some staggering amounts of rain in this monsoon season so much so that the city has not only surpassed the seasonal rains but also surpassed the annual normal rains. From 1st june to 11th September the city of dreams has recorded about 3351.6mm of rains and till today it has received 1324.5 mm excess rains, which is a huge figure.

Now let's have a look on latest wet spell which paralysed the city and almost brought the city to a standstill. The rain fury began to lash the city from 1st Sep and continued for 10 days I.e till 10th sep, During this extended wet spell city recorded extremely heavy rains of about 242.2mm on sep 5th, Heavy to very heavy rains of about 131.5mm, 118.3mm and 119mm on 3rd, 4th and 8th September respectively. This is some humongous amount of rains as the city surpassed its monthly normal rains of about 340mm in first 5 days of the month, Currently the city has recorded about 797.7mm of rains in September which is more than double of the normal. The reason for this wet spell was multiple weather systems prevailing close to the region. First the off shore trough extending from South gujarat coast  to north Kerala coast, Second UAC over south gujarat region, Third Low pressure area over odisha and neighbourhood. This wet spell ended on sep 10th morning  and the city heaved the sigh of relief. 

The upcoming spell is not going to be heavy as previous once, moderate to few intense spells expected as of today. We will update you if conditions changes.

Next 2 days weather forecast for Mumbai and Vasai-Virar:

Thrusday 12th Sep: Moderate rains likely in city and suburbs, about 25-30mm of rains possible, one or two places may exceed 30mm, Temp around 27-30°C.

Friday 13th Sep: Moderate rains likely in city and suburbs, about 30-45mm of rains possible, few places may exceed 45mm, Temp 27-30℃ 

Last 24 Hours Rainfall ending 8:30 am Today:

Mumbai(SCZ): 6.5mm
Mumbai(CLB): 9mm 
Vasai: 5mm

Data Source: IMD 

Tuesday, July 30, 2019

Last 24 Hours Rainfall Figures of Maharashtra State (Region-Wise):

Konkan & Goa(More than 4cm):

 Karjat_Agri (Dist Raigad) 18, Jawhar (Dist Palghar) 17, Lanja (Dist Ratnagiri) 16, Vikramgad (Dist Palghar) 16, Matheran (Dist Raigad) 15, Bhira - Imd Part Time (Dist Raigad) 14, Khalapur (Dist Raigad) 13, Kudal (Dist Sindhudurg) 13, Wada (Dist Palghar) 13, Poladpur (Dist Raigad) 13, Bhiwandi (Dist Thane) 13, Mokheda - Fmo (Dist Palghar) 12, Dodamarg (Dist Sindhudurg) 12, Pen (Dist Raigad) 12, Chiplun (Dist Ratnagiri) 12, Khed (Dist Ratnagiri) 12, Rajapur (Dist Ratnagiri) 12, Mandangad (Dist Ratnagiri) 11, Kankavli (Dist Sindhudurg) 11, Vaibhavwadi (Dist Sindhudurg) 11, Valpoi (Dist North Goa) 11, Sudhagad Pali (Dist Raigad) 11, Ulhasnagar (Dist Thane) 11, Sangameshwar Devrukh (Dist Ratnagiri) 10, Sawantwadi (Dist Sindhudurg) 10, Tbia Imd Part Time (Dist Thane) 10, Mahad (Dist Raigad) 9, Kalyan (Dist Thane) 9, Ambernath (Dist Thane) 9, Dapoli_Agri (Dist Ratnagiri) 9, Murbad (Dist Thane) 9, Tala (Dist Raigad) 8, Mangaon (Dist Raigad) 8, Guhagarh (Dist Ratnagiri) 8, Talasari (Dist Palghar) 8, Roha (Dist Raigad) 8, Thane (Dist Thane) 8, Panvel_Agri (Dist Raigad) 7, Sanguem (Dist South Goa) 7, Mulde_ Agri (Dist Sindhudurg) 7, Dahanu - Imd Obsy (Dist Palghar) 6, Shahapur (Dist Thane) 6, Ratnagiri - Imd Obsy (Dist Ratnagiri) 5, Palghar_Agri (Dist Palghar) 5, Quepem (Dist South Goa) 5, Pernem (Dist North Goa) 5, Ponda (Dist North Goa) 5.

Madhya Maharashtra(More than 2cm):

Lonavala_Agri (Dist Pune) 28, Mahabaleshwar- Imd Obsy (Dist Satara) 23, Gaganbawada (Dist Kolhapur) 23, Chandgad (Dist Kolhapur) 15, Surgana (Dist Nashik) 15, Radhanagari (Dist Kolhapur) 14, Trimbakshwar (Dist Nashik) 13, Velhe (Dist Pune) 13, Paud Mulshi (Dist Pune) 12, Harsul - Fmo (Dist Nashik) 12, Igatpuri (Dist Nashik) 12, Peth (Dist Nashik) 11, Vadgaon Maval (Dist Pune) 11, Ozharkheda - Fmo (Dist Nashik) 11, Patan (Dist Satara) 11, Ajra (Dist Kolhapur) 10, Bhor (Dist Pune) 9, Gargoti / Bhudargad (Dist Kolhapur) 9, Kolhapur/Karvir Imd (Dist Kolhapur) 9, Javali Medha (Dist Satara) 8, Shahuwadi (Dist Kolhapur) 8, Panhala (Dist Kolhapur) 8, Navapur (Dist Nandurbar) 8, Gadhinglaj (Dist Kolhapur) 7, Satara - Imd Obsy (Dist Satara) 7, Wai (Dist Satara) 7, Khed Rajgurunagar (Dist Pune) 7, Kagal (Dist Kolhapur) 6, Karad (Dist Satara) 6, Kadegaon (Dist Sangli) 5, Vita (Dist Sangli) 5, Shirala (Dist Sangli) 5, Raver (Dist Jalgaon) 5, Akole (Dist Ahmednagar) 4, Junnar (Dist Pune) 4, Hatkanangale (Dist Kolhapur) 4, Walva Islampur (Dist Sangli) 4, Sangli - Imd Obsy (Dist Sangli) 3, Shirol (Dist Kolhapur) 3, Dindori (Dist Nashik) 3, Pune City - Imd Obsy (Dist Pune) 3, Nandurbar (Dist Nandurbar) 3, Ambegaon Ghodegaon (Dist Pune) 3, Dahigaon - Fmo (Dist Jalgaon) 3, Nashik - Imd Obsy (Dist Nashik) 3, Koregaon (Dist Satara) 3, Tasgaon (Dist Sangli) 3, Shahada (Dist Nandurbar) 3, Gidhade - Fmo (Dist Dhule) 3,

Marathawada:

Kinwat (Dist Nanded) 8, Mahur (Dist Nanded) 5, Himayatnagar (Dist Nanded) 5, Hadgaon (Dist Nanded) 3, Kallamnuri (Dist Hingoli) 3, Billoli (Dist Nanded) 3, Dharmabad (Dist Nanded) 3, Umari (Dist Nanded) 3, Bhokar (Dist Nanded) 3, Udgir - Imd Parttime (Dist Latur) 2, Naigaon Khairgaon (Dist Nanded) 2, Mukhed (Dist Nanded) 2, Nanded - Imd Parttime (Dist Nanded) 2, Jalkot (Dist Latur) 2, Mudkhed (Dist Nanded) 2, Degloor - Fmo (Dist Nanded) 2, Kandhar (Dist Nanded) 1, Paranda (Dist Osmanabad) 1, Hingoli - Hydromet (Dist Hingoli) 1, Osmanabad Imd Parttime (Dist Osmanabad) 1, Ardhapur (Dist Nanded) 1, Bhum (Dist Osmanabad) 1, Aundha Nagnath (Dist Hingoli) 1, Ambejogai / Mominabad (Dist Beed) 1, Tuljapur (Dist Osmanabad) 1, Umarga (Dist Osmanabad) 1, Lohara (Dist Osmanabad) 1, Kannad (Dist Aurangabad) 1, Dharur (Dist Beed) 1, Soegaon (Dist Aurangabad) 1.

Mumbai(SCZ): 38mm

Mumbai(CLB): 20.4mm

Vasai: 37mm


Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Mumbai: Typical Heavy Mumbai Rains Drenched City Midnight, Vasai-Virar Choked.



Mumbai(Colaba): The very heavy rain show begun at midnight in south Mumbai and it was a thumping start as the Colaba city received more than 174 mm rain in just 6 hours, Its huge amount of rain in such small time period. As a result, Waterlogging and traffic jams were seen in many south Mumbai regions, but it eased out in the forenoon hours of today as only moderate  rains were seen after 8:30am hrs of today.

Mumbai(Santacruz): The intensity of rains compared to Colaba was less. There were no reports of waterlogging and traffic jams till 8:30 am hrs of today. However, it recorded rains in the heavy rain category.

Vasai-Virar: Past 6-7 days the vasaikar's were missing the typical heavy Vasai rains, as the days were hot and humid which resulted in uncomfortable weather conditions, the temperature for the past few days were recorded in higher 30s which is very rare during south-west monsoon season. But finally, the Vasai rain made a thumping comeback past midnight, where it rained continuously without any break. Waterlogging and traffic jams were seen in many places and that’s not the end it rained continuously throughout the day, the rains were relentless and merciless.
.
Last 24 Hours Rain in mm Ending 8:30 am Hours of Today :

Mumbai (Colaba): 173.6 mm
Mumbai(Santacruz): 84.2 mm
Vasai: 104 mm

Next 3 Days Weather Forecast:

Mumbai & Vasai-Virar:  
25th July: Isolated Heavy rain is very likely to occur. total about 40-70 mm rains possible in isolated places, Temp around 28-30, Mainly overcast condition.
26th July: Isolated Heavy to very heavy rain is likely to occur. total about 70-130 mm rains possible in isolated places. Temp around 28-30, Mainly overcast condition.
27th July: Isolated Heavy rain is very likely to occur. total about 40-70 mm rains possible. Temp around 28-30, Mainly overcast condition.

Last 24 Hours Rainfall Figures of Konkan & Goa region Min(5cm):

GUHAGARH 25 PERNEM 19 COLABA - IMD OBSY 17 CHIPLUN 15 MARGAO 14 RAJAPUR 13 SANGUEM 12 MULDE AGRI 12 KHED 11 SAWANTWADI 11 QUEPEM 11 VASAI 10 DEVGAD 10 KUDAL 10 DODAMARG 10 MALVAN 9 MORMUGAO - PMO IMD 9 VALPOI 9 RAMESHWAR AGRI 9 SANTACRUZ - IMD OBSY 8 PALGHAR AGRI 8 MANDANGAD 8 DABOLIM N.A.S.- NAVY 8 ALIBAG - IMD PART TIME 8 BHIRA - IMD PART TIME 7 CANACONA 7 KANKAVLI 6 HARNAI IMD OBSY 5 RATNAGIRI - IMD OBSY 5 THANE 5 VAIBHAVWADI 5 LANJA 5

Data credit: IMD