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| Good News: India's Southwest Monsoon 2020 to be Normal (96% - 104%) Says, India Meteorological Department |
Highlights:
- IMD came out with its 1st stage long-range forecast for the Monsoon season through online video conferencing.
- India's Monsoon 2020 to be Normal (96% - 104%) of LPA (Long Period Average).
- Monsoon seasonal rainfall from June to September is likely to be 100% of LPA.
- IMD monitoring sea surface temperature over pacific and Indian ocean.
- IMD to release its 2nd stage long-range forecast during the last week of May/ First week of June.
India:
The southwest monsoon season is the primary rainy season of our country, as it gives about 75% of annual rainfall. The monsoon first hits the extreme south tip of our country i.e extreme south Kerela on 1st June. It progresses in stages to cover our country and normally covers the entire country in the month of July. The withdrawal begins in the month of September and gradually withdraws from the entire country on 15th October.
India is an agricultural country that means people are highly dependent on the agricultural output, this is the reason why monsoon is so crucial for India. also, about more than 50% of people are dependent on agriculture.
India Meteorological Department released its 1st stage long-range forecast for 2020 Monsoon season rainfall yesterday through online video conferencing from the national capital in order to maintain social distancing measures as a part of COVID-19 outburst.
IMD said that the Southwest monsoon 2020 is likely to be normal i.e (96% - 104%) during June to September. It also stated that quantitatively the southwest monsoon season (June to September) will average 100% of the long-period average(LPA) with a model error of +/- 5%. There is a 9% chance of deficient rainfall (<90%), 20% chance of below-normal rainfall (90 - 96%), 41% chance of normal rainfall (96 - 104%), 21% chance of above-normal rainfall (105 - 110%) and 9% chance of excess rainfall (>110%).
It also stated that currently Neutral El-Nino Southern oscillation and Neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions are prevailing over the pacific and Indian ocean respectively and said that these conditions are likely to persist during monsoon season. but also noted that few models are indicating weak La-Nina conditions during monsoon season.
IMD is continuously monitoring the sea surface temperature of the Pacific and Indian ocean. It stated that they will come out with the 2nd stage long-range forecast during the last week of May/ First week of June. It will include detailed information about July and august month rainfall, four geographical region rainfall and the overall rainfall from June to September.
 Says, India Meteorological Department){kind=link}
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